海洋经济

2015, v.5;No.28(04) 32-41

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东海经济区产业结构问题评价实证分析
Empirical Analysis of Industrial Structure in the Economic Region of the East China Sea

魏孟雅;张效莉;
Wei Mengya;Zhang Xiaoli;Center for Studies of Marine Economy, Shanghai Ocean University;

摘要(Abstract):

在中国经济新常态的经济背景下及"一带一路"战略规划的重要时期,作为中国经济发展中坚力量的东海经济区,其经济发展、产业结构合理与否等问题日益受到瞩目。以2004—2013年为考察区间,通过偏离-份额分析模型(SSM)对东海经济区的产业结构进行分析,并对其进行纵向对比,结果显示:与第一个五年阶段相比,东海经济区第一、二产业优势有所减弱,产业发展速度低于全国平均水平;第三产业优势愈为明显,但发展速度有所降低,后劲不足。同时,对2004—2013年东海经济区"三省一市"产业结构进行SSM分析比较,结果显示,四地经济发展存在不均衡,产业结构均有待调整。基于以上分析结果,建议在今后的发展中,东海经济区应以创新为动力,融入中国"一带一路"建设,以大力促进第三产业发展为重点,进一步适应经济新常态,稳中求进。
China is in an important period of new economic norm and strategic planning of "one belt and one way". As the backbone of Chinese economic development, the problem of industrial structure in the economic region of the East China Sea has been attracting more and more attention. Advantages and disadvantages in industrial structure and location competitive power of the East China Sea were analyzed during the probation period of the years from 2005 to 2008 by the SSM(Shift-Share Method). The results showed that,compared with the first five years, the primary and second industries of East China Sea Economic Zone were weakened, and the industrial growth rate of it was lower than the national average level. The advantage of the tertiary industry was more obvious, but the development speed was decreased. At the same time, analysis was made of the industrial structure of the areas in the economic region of the East China Sea on the SSM. The results showed that, the economic development of the four areas is not balanced, and the industrial structure needs to be adjusted. Based on the above analysis, the article suggests that the economic region of the East China Sea should take the innovation as the driving force,integrate itself into the "one belt and one way"of China, so as to further adapt to the new normal economy based on emphasizing vigorously promoting the development of tertiary industry and make progress while maintaining.

关键词(KeyWords): 东海经济区;偏离-份额分析法;产业结构
the economic region of the East China;Sea Shift-Share Method;industrial structure

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作者(Author): 魏孟雅;张效莉;
Wei Mengya;Zhang Xiaoli;Center for Studies of Marine Economy, Shanghai Ocean University;

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