海洋经济

2017, v.7;No.39(03) 27-35

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基于灰色关联度模型的平潭综合实验区渔业资源经济产值影响因素分析
An Empirical Analysis of Effect Factors of Fishery Resources Economic Output Value Based on the Grey Correlation Model——Taking the Pingtan Comprehensive Experimental Area for example

傅颜颜;唐菲;
FU Yanyan;TANG Fei;Island Research Center,SOA;

摘要(Abstract):

平潭作为我国重点开发的综合实验区、国际旅游岛建设区,福建省重点建设的自贸试验片区和海峡蓝色经济试验区,是开展对台交流与合作的重要窗口和对外开放的重要平台。平潭海洋经济的发展是带动海岛经济发展、建设平潭国际旅游岛的重要基础,更是我国"海洋强国"建设的重要支撑。渔业经济是海洋经济的重要支柱,选取2005—2014年十年期间平潭渔业经济产值及其影响因素的相关数据,运用灰色关联度模型进行分析,计算各相关因素与地区渔业经济发展的具体相关程度以及各因素的重要性排名。实证分析结果表明:水产加工类指标与平潭渔业经济产值的综合关联性最高,对渔业经济的影响也较强;渔业生产产量类指标的关联性次之;渔业生产要素投入类指标位居第三。但是平潭渔业发展尚存在发展速度较慢、高附加值产品生产能力低下、技术水平跟不上、劳动力资源使用效率低下、自然灾害防御能力有限等问题,最后针对这些现象提出进一步改进的对策建议。
As a key of comprehensive experimental Pingtan area developed in our country,the international tourism island construction area and Fujian free-trade test zone and the blue economic test zone of Fujian strait,is one of the important windows through which to exchange and cooperate with Taiwan and an important platform of opening to the outside world. The development of marine economy in Pingtan is not only an important foundation for driving the development of island economy and constructing the international tourism island of Pingtan,but also the significant support for the "sea power" construction in our country. Fishery economy is the important pillar of marine economy,and this article selected about ten years' relevant data of fishery economic output value and its influencing factors of Pingtan in 2005 —2014,using the grey correlation model to analyze,calculate the related degree of the related factors associated with the regional fishery economy development and rank the importance of various factors. Empirical analysis results showed that: the aquatic product processing indexes had the highest comprehensive correlation with the Pingtan fishery economic output value,and its impact on the fishery economy was also stronger;Fishery production indexes were in the second class;Fishery production factors input indexes were in third class. But there still existed problems in the fishery development of Pingtan such as a slower rate of development,lower production capacity of high value-added products,the technical level difficult to keep up with the economic development,low efficiency of labor force resources and limited natural disaster defense ability,etc. Therefore,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward for further improvement directed against these phenomena at the end of this article.

关键词(KeyWords): 渔业经济产值;影响因素;灰色关联度分析
Fishery economic output value;Influence factors;Grey correlation analysis

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家海洋局课题“海洋经济监测评估、信息发布与业务系统运行维护”[G.2200299.160101]

作者(Author): 傅颜颜;唐菲;
FU Yanyan;TANG Fei;Island Research Center,SOA;

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